Publications from the HyperFACETS Project

2024

  • (Under Review) Rahimi, S., L. Huang, J. Norris, A. Hall, N. Goldenson, W. Krantz, B. Bass, C. Thackeray, H. Lin, D. Chen, E. Dennis, E. Collins, Z. Lebo, E. Slinskey, and the UCLA Center for Climate Science Team (2024) “An Overview of the Western United States Dynamically Downscaled Dataset (WUS-D3)” Submitted to Geosci. Model. Dev.
  • (Under Review) Rudisill, W.J., D.R. Feldman, Z. Xu, and A.M. Rhoades (2024) “Are atmospheric models too-cold in mountains? The state of science and insights from the SAIL field campaign” Submitted to the Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
  • (Under Review) Wang, J., J. Fan and Z. Feng (2024) “Climatological occurrences of hail and tornado associated with mesoscale convective systems in the United States” Submitted to Nat. Hazards Earth Sys. Sci.
  • (Under Review) Lin, X., J. Fan, Y. Zhang, Z.J. Hou (2024) “Machine learning analysis of western US fire impacts on hailstorms in the central US” Submitted to Adv. Atmos. Sci.
  • (Under Review) Balaguru, K., S. S.-C. Wang, L.R. Leung, S. Hagos, B. Harrop, C.-C. Chang, S.W. Lubis, O.A. Garuba, and S. Taraphdar (2024) “Influence of eastern Pacific hurricanes on the southwest US wildfire environment” Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Feng, Z., X. Chen, and L.R. Leung (2024) “How might the May 2015 flood in the U.S. Southern Great Plains induced by clustered MCSs unfold in the future?” Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.
  • (Under Review) Coburn, J., Barthelmie R.J and Pryor S.C. (2024) “Quantifying the compound hazard of freezing rain and wind gusts across CONUS
  • (Under Review) Letson F., Coburn J., Zhou X., Bukovsky M.B., Barthelmie R.J and Pryor S.C. (2024) “Historical and future windstorms in the Northeast United States
  • (Under Review) Zhou X., F. Letson, J.J. Coburn, R.J. Barthelmie and S.C. Pryor (2024) “Windstorms in the Northeastern USA in the contemporary and future climate” Submitted to Climate Dynamics.
  • (Under Review) Landy, J., K. A. Reed, and P. A. Ullrich (2024) “A climatology of atmospheric fronts and their associated precipitation” Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Fisel, B. J., E. E. Linde, and W. J. Gutowski (2024) “Using an object-based method to evaluate 36-month drought events for the Northeastern United States under contemporary and scenario climates” Submitted to Atm. Sci. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Duan, S., P.A. Ullrich, M.D. Risser, and A.M. Rhoades (2024) “Using temporal deep learning models to estimate historical and end-century daily snow water equivalent over the Rocky Mountains” Submitted to Water Resour. Res.
  • (Under Review) McClenny, E. and P.A. Ullrich (2024) “Response of atmospheric river width and intensity to sea-surface temperatures in an aquaplanet model” Submitted to J. Geophys. Res. Atm.
  • (Under Review) Stuivenvolt-Allen, J., Y. Chikamoto, S.-Y. Wang and A. Timmerman (2024) “Emergence of a decadal hydroclimate regime in the western United States” Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • (Under Review) Pokharel, B., K. Jagannathan, S.Y.S. Wang, A.D. Jones, P.A. Ullrich, L.Y.R. Leung, M. LaPlante, S. Buddhavarapu, K. Borhara, J. Eklund, C. Hasenyager, J, Serago, J.R. Prairie, L. Kaatz, T. Winchell and F. Kugel (2024) “Drought-busting ‘miracles’ in the Colorado River Basin may become less frequent and less powerful under climate warming” Submitted to Water Resour. Res.
  • (Under Review) Shenk, L., K. Franz and W. J. Gutowski (2024) “Minding the gaps to s(t)imulate collaborative storytelling: How humanists, climate scientists, and communities can co-produce narratives for action” Submitted to Environmental Humanities.
  • (Available) Yates, D., J.K. Szinai, and A.D. Jones (2024) “Modeling the water systems of the Western US to support climate-resilient electricity system planningEarth’s Future 12 (1), e2022EF003220, doi: 10.1029/2022EF003220.

2023

  • (Available) Najibi, N., N. Devineni and U. Lall (2023) “Compound continental risk of multiple extreme floods in the United States Geophys. Res. Lett., 50 (21), p.e2023GL105297, doi: 10.1029/2023GL105297.
  • (Available) Akinsanola, A. A., G. J. Kooperman, W. M. Hannah, K. A. Reed, A. G. Pendergrass, and W.-C. Hsu (2023) “Evaluation of present-day extreme precipitation over the United States: An inter-comparison of convection and dynamic permitting configurations of E3SMv1” Env. Res. Climate, doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad0f9e.
  • (Available) Harrop, B.E., K. Balaguru, J.-C. Golaz, L.R. Leung, S. Mahajan, A.M. Rhoades, P.A. Ullrich, C. Zhang, X. Zheng, T. Zhou, P.M. Caldwell, N.D. Keen and A. Mametjanov (2023) “Evaluating the water cycle over CONUS at the watershed scale for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 (E3SMv1) across resolutionsJ. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. 15 (11), e2022MS003490, doi: 10.1029/2022MS003490.
  • (Available) Bass, B., Rahimi, S., Goldenson, N., Hall, A., Norris, J., Lebow, Z.J. (2023) “Achieving realistic runoff in the western US with a land surface model forced by dynamically downscaled meteorologyJ. Hydrometeor. 24 (2), 269–283, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0047.1.
  • (Available) Reed, K.A and M. F. Wehner (2023) “Real-time attribution of the influence of climate change on extreme weather events: A storyline case study of Hurricane Ian rainfallEnviron. Res. Climate 2, 043001, doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/acfd4e.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., C.M. Zarzycki, H.A. Inda-Diaz, M. Ombadi, U. Pasquier, A. Srivastava, B.J. Hatchett, E. Dennis, A. Heggli, R. McCrary, S. McGinnis, S. Rahimi-Esfarjani, E. Slinskey, P.A. Ullrich, M. Wehner and A.D.Jones (2023) “Recreating the California New Year’s flood event of 1997 in a regionally refined Earth system modelJ. Adv. Model Earth Sys. 15 (10), e2023MS003793, doi: 10.1029/2023MS003793.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., S. Buddhavarapu, P.A. Ullrich, A.D. Jones and the HyperFACETS Team (2023) “Typologies of actionable climate information and its use Global Env. Change 82, 102732, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102732.
  • (Available) Pettett, A. and C. Zarzycki (2023) “The 1996 Mid-Atlantic Winter Flood: Exploring climate risk through a storyline approachJ. Hydrometeor. 24 (12), 2259–2280, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0146.1.
  • (Available) Jones, A.D., D. Rastogi, P. Vahmani, A.M. Stansfield, K.A. Reed, T. Thurber, P.A. Ullrich and J. Rice (2023) “Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weatherScientific Data 10 (664), doi: 10.1038/s41597-023-02485-5.
  • (Available) Agonafir, C., T. Lakhankar, R. Khanbilvardi, N. Krakauer, D. Radell and N. Devineni (2023) “A review of recent advances in urban flood researchWater Security, 19, 100141, doi: 10.1016/j.wasec.2023.100141.
  • (Available) Huprikar, A., A. M Stansfield, and K. A. Reed (2023) “A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma’s precipitation under various levels of climate warmingEnv. Res. Lett. 19 (1), 014004, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0c89.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A.K., P.A. Ullrich, D. Rastogi, P. Vahmani, A. Jones and R. Grotjahn (2023) “Assessment of WRF (v 4.2.1) dynamically downscaled precipitation on subdaily and daily timescales over CONUSGeosci. Model Dev. 16, 3699–3722, doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-3699-2023.
  • (Available) McGinnis, S., L. Kessenich, L. Mearns, A. Cullen, H. Podschwit, and M. Bukovsky (2023) “Future regional increases in simultaneous large Western US wildfiresInt. J. Wildland Fire 32 (9), 1304-1314, doi: 10.1071/WF22107.
  • (Available) Feldman, D.R., A.C. Aiken, W. R. Boos, R.W.H. Carroll, V. Chandrasekar, S. Collis, J. M. Creamean, G. de Boer, J. Deems, P. J. DeMott, J. Fan, A. N. Flores, D. Gochis, M. Grover, T. C. J. Hill, A. Hodshire, E. Hulm, C. C. Hume, R. Jackson, F. Junyent, A. Kennedy, M. Kumjian, E. J. T. Levin, J. D. Lundquist, J. O’Brien, M. S. Raleigh, J. Reithel, A.M. Rhoades, K. Rittger, W. Rudisill, Z. Sherman, E. Siirila-Woodburn, S. M. Skiles, J. N. Smith, R. C. Sullivan, A. Theisen, M. Tuftedal, A. C. Varble, A. Wiedlea, S. Wielandt, K. Williams, and Z. Xu (2023) “The Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) campaignBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0049.1.
  • (Available) Tang, Q., J.-C. Golaz, L.P. Van Roekel, M.A. Taylor, W. Lin, B.R. Hillman, P.A. Ullrich, A.M. Bradley, O. Guba, J.D. Wolfe, T. Zhou, K. Zhang, X. Zheng, Y. Zhang, M. Zhang, M. Wu, H. Wang, C. Tao, B. Singh, A.M. Rhoades, Y. Qin, H.-Y. Li, Y. Feng, Y. Zhang, C. Zhang, C.S. Zender, S. Xie, E.L. Roesler, A.F. Roberts, A. Mametjanov, M.E. Maltrud, N.D. Keen, R.L. Jacob, C. Jablonowski, O.K. Hughes, R.M. Forsyth, A.V. Di Vittorio, P.M. Caldwell, G. Bisht, R.B. McCoy, L. Ruby Leung, and D.C. Bader (2023) “The fully coupled regionally refined model of E3SM version 2: Overview of the atmosphere, land, and riverGeosci. Model. Dev. 16 (13), doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-3953-2023.
  • (Available) Song, Y., T. W.-P. Tsai, J. Gluck, A.M. Rhoades, C.M. Zarzycki, R. McCrary, K. Lawson and C. Shen (2023) “LSTM-based data integration to dramatically improve one-month-ahead snow water equivalent forecast and diagnose error sourcesJ. Hydrometeor., doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0220.1.
  • (Available) Zhi, W., W. Ouyang, C. Shen and L. Li (2023) “Temperature outweighs light and flow as the predominant driver of dissolved oxygen in US riversNature Water 1(3), 249-260, doi: 10.1038/s44221-023-00038-z.
  • (Available) Shen, C., Appling, A.P., Gentine, P. et al. (2023) “Differentiable modelling to unify machine learning and physical models for geosciencesNat. Rev. Earth Environ. 4, 552–567, doi: 10.1038/s43017-023-00450-9.
  • (Available) Feng, D., H. Beck, K. Lawson and C. Shen (2023) “The suitability of differentiable, learnable hydrologic modelsHydrol. Earth Sys. Sci. 27 (12), 2357–2373, doi: 10.5194/hess-27-2357-2023.
  • (Available) Siirila-Woodburn, E.R., P.J. Dennedy-Frank, A.M. Rhoades, P. Vahmani, F. Maina, B.J. Hatchett, Y. Zhou and A.D. Jones (2023) “The role of atmospheric rivers on groundwater: Lessons learned from an extreme wet yearWater Resour. Res. 59 (6), e2022WR033061, doi: 10.1029/2022WR033061.
  • (Available) Xu, Z., E.R. Siirila-Woodburn, A.M. Rhoades, and D. Feldman (2023) “Sensitivities of subgrid-scale physics schemes, meteorological forcing, and topographic radiation in atmosphere-through-bedrock integrated process models: A case study in the Upper Colorado River BasinHydrol. Earth Sys. Sci. 27 (9), 1771–1789, doi: 10.5194/hess-27-1771-2023.
  • (Available) Rudisill, W.J., A.N. Flores, H.P. Marshall, E.R. Siirila-Woodburn, D.R. Feldman, A.M. Rhoades, Z. Xu, and A. Morales (2023) “Cold-season precipitation sensitivity to microphysical parameterizations: Hydrologic evaluations leveraging snow lidar datasetsJ. Hydrometeor., doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0217.1.
  • (Available) Qin, H., S.A. Klein, H.-Y. Ma, K. van Weverberg, Z. Feng, X. Chen, M. Best, H. Hu, L.R. Leung, C.J. Morcrette, and H. Rumbold (2023) “Summertime near-surface temperature biases over the central United States in convection-permitting simulationsJ. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 128 (22), e2023JD038624, doi: 10.1029/2023JD038624.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt-Allen, J., S.-Y. Wang, Y. Chikamoto, J. Meyer, Z. Johnson and L. Deng (2023) “Growing Pacific linkage with western North Atlantic explosive cyclonesClim. Dyn., 7073–7090, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0784.1.
  • (Available) Goldenson, N., L.R. Leung, L. Mearns, D. Pierce, K. Reed, P.A. Ullrich, D. Cayan, A. Hall, A. Jones, W. Krantz, S. Rahimi and I. Simpson (2023) “Use-inspired, process-oriented GCM selection: Prioritizing models for regional dynamical downscalingBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 104 (9), E1619–E1629, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0100.1.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, and L. Dong (2023) “Antecedent hydrometeorological conditions of wildfire occurrence in the Western U.S. in a changing climateJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 128 (22), e2023JD039136, doi: 10.1029/2023JD039136.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A. M., and K. A. Reed (2023) “Global Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Scaling with Sea Surface Temperature” npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 6 (60), doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00391-6.
  • (Available) Gao, J., and M.S. Bukovsky (2023) “Urban land patterns can moderate population exposures to climate extremes over the 21st centuryNature Communications 14, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-42084-x.
  • (Available) Wang, S.S.-C., L.R. Leung, and Y. Qian (2023) “Projection of future fire emissions over the contiguous US using explainable artificial intelligence and CMIP6J. Geophys. Res., 128, e2023JD039154, doi: 10.1029/2023JD039154.
  • (Available) Wang, S. S.-C., L.R. Leung, and Y. Qian (2023) “Extension of intense fire emissions from summer to fall and its drivers in western USEarth’s Future, 11, e2022EF003086, doi: 10.1029/2022EF003086.
  • (Available) Sakaguchi, K., L.R. Leung, C. Zarzycki, J. Jang, S. McGinnis, M. Duda, B.E. Harrop, W. Skamarock, A. Gettelman, S.-H. Park, C. Zhao, W.J. Gutowski, and L.O. Mearns (2023) “Technical descriptions of the experimental dynamical downscaling simulations over North America by the CAM-MPAS variable-resolution modelGeosci. Model Devel., 16, 3029-3081, doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-3029-2023.
  • (Available) Sethunadh J., F.W. Letson, R.J. Barthelmie and S.C. Pryor (2023) “Assessing the impact of global warming on windstorms in the Northeastern United States using the pseudo-global-warming methodNatural Hazards 117, 2807-2834, doi: 10.1007/s11069-023-05968-1.
  • (Available) Reed, K.A., A. M Stansfield, W.-C. Hsu, G. J. Kooperman, A. A. Akinsanola, W. M. Hannah, A. G. Pendergrass, and B. Medeiros (2023) “Evaluating the simulation of CONUS precipitation by storm type in E3SMGeophys. Res. Lett. 50, e2022GL102409, doi: 10.1029/2022GL102409.
  • (Available) Fisel, B. J., N. Erickson, C. R. Young, A. L. Ellingworth, and W. J. Gutowski (2023) “Evaluating contemporary and future-scenario substantial-precipitation events in the Missouri River Basin using object-oriented analysisClimate 11 (5), doi: 10.3390/cli11050112.
  • (Available) Chikamoto, Y., W. Zhang, L. Hipps, S.-Y. S. Wang, R. R. Gillies, and S. Bigalke (2023) “Interannual variability and trends of summertime PM2.5-based air quality in the Intermountain WestEnv. Res. Lett. 18 (4), 044032, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acc6e0.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., Emmanuel, G., Arnott, J., Mach, K. J., Bamzai-Dodson, A., Goodrich, K., … and Klenk, N. (2023) “A research agenda for the Science of Actionable Knowledge: Drawing from a review of the most misguided to the most enlightened claims in the science-policy interface literatureEnv. Sci. Policy. 144, 174-186, doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.03.004.
  • (Available) Liu, W., P.A. Ullrich, J. Li, C. Zarzycki, P.M. Caldwell, L.R. Leung and Y. Qian (2023) “The June 2012 North American Derecho: A testbed for evaluating regional and global climate modeling systems at cloud-resolving scalesJ. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. 15 (4), e2022MS003358, doi: 10.1029/2022MS003358.
  • (Available) Shields, C. A., A. E. Payne, E. J. Shearer, M. F. Wehner, T. A. O’Brien, J. J. Rutz, L. R. Leung, F. M. Ralph, A. B. Marquardt Collow, P. A. Ullrich and Q. Dong (2023) “Future atmospheric rivers and impacts on precipitation: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 high‐resolution global warming experiment” Geophys. Res. Lett., 50(6), p.e2022GL102091, doi: 10.1029/2022GL102091.
  • (Available) Xu, C., S.-Y. S. Wang, K. Borhara, B. Buckley, N. Tan, Y. Zhao, W. An, M. Sano, T. Nakatsuka and Z. Guo (2023) “Asian-Australian summer monsoons linkage to ENSO strengthened by global warmingnpj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 6 (8), doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00341-2.
  • (Available) Jagannathan K, Pathak TB and Doll D (2023) “Are long-term climate projections useful for on-farm adaptation decisions?Front. Clim. 4:1005104, doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.1005104.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., J. Stuivenvolt-Allen, S.-Y. Wang, S. Sharma, M. LaPlante, R. R. Gillies, S. Khanal, M. Wehner, A.M. Rhoades, K. Hamal, W.-Y. Liu, S. Mukherjee, and D. Aryal (2023) “Amplified drought trends in Nepal increase the potential for Himalayan wildfires” Climat. Change 176, 17, doi: 10.1007/s10584-023-03495-3.
  • (Available) Brighenti, T. M., P. W. Gassman, W. J. Gutowski and J. R. Thompson (2023) “Assessing the influence of a bias correction method on future climate scenarios using SWAT as an impact model indicator” Water 15 (4), 750, doi: 10.3390/w15040750.
  • (Available) Hatchett, B.J., A. Koshkin, K. Guirguis, K. Rittger, A.M. Rhoades, A. Nolin, A. Heggli, A. East, E. Siirila-Woodburn, W.T. Brandt, A. Gershunov, and K. Haleakala (2023) “Midwinter dry spells amplify post-fire snowpack decline” Geophys. Res. Lett. 50 (3), e2022GL101235, doi: 10.1029/2022GL101235.
  • (Available) Coburn J.J. and Pryor S.C. (2023) “Evolution of the internal climate modes under future warmingJ. Clim. 36, 511-529, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0200.1.
  • (Available) Pryor, S. C., J. J. Coburn, R. J. Barthelmie and T. Shepherd (2023) “Projecting future energy production from operating wind farms in North America: Part 1: Dynamical downscalingJ. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 62, 63-80 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0044.1.
  • (Available) Coburn, J.J. and S.C. Pryor (2023) “Projecting future energy production from operating wind farms in North America: Part 2: Statistical downscalingJ. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 62, 81-101, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0047.1.
  • (Available) Coburn, J.J. and S.C. Pryor (2023) “Projecting future energy production from operating wind farms in North America: Part 3: VariabilityJ. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 62, 1523-1537, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0104.1.
  • (Available) Pryor, S. C., F. W. Letson, T. Shepherd and R. J. Barthelmie (2023) “Evaluation of WRF simulation of deep convection in the US Southern Great PlainsJ. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 62, 41-62, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0090.1.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, and M. Wigmosta (2023) “Sharpening of cold-season storms over the western United StatesNature Clim. Change 13, 167–173, doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01578-0.
  • (Available) Frame, J., F. Kratzert, H.V. Gupta, P.A. Ullrich and G. Nearing (2023) “On strictly enforced mass conservation constraints for modeling the rainfall-runoff processHydrol. Proc. 37 (3), e14847, doi: 10.1002/hyp.14847.
  • (Available) Sarangi, C., Y. Qian, L.R. Leung, Y. Zhang, Y. Zou, and Y. Wang (2023) “Projected increases in boreal wildfires challenge regulatory curtailment of PM2.5 over the eastern US by 2050Atmos. Phys. Chem., 23, 1769-1783, doi:10.5194/acp-23-1769-2023.

2022

  • (Available) Stuivenvolt-Allen, J. and S.-Y. S. Wang (2022) “North American fire weather catalyzed by the extratropical transition of tropical cyclonesClim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06561-1.
  • (Available) Coburn, J., J. Arnheim, and S. C. Pryor (2022) “Short-term forecasting of wind gusts at airports across CONUS using machine learningEarth Space Sci. 9 (12), e2022EA002486, doi: 10.1029/2022EA002486.
  • (Available) Hu, H., Z. Feng, and L.R. Leung (2022) “Quantifying flood frequency associated with clustered mesoscale convective systems in the United StatesJ. Hydrometeor. 23, 1685-1703, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0038.1.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., B.J. Hatchett, M.D. Risser, W.D. Collins, N.E. Bambach, L.S. Huning, R. McCrary, E.R. Siirila-Woodburn, P.A. Ullrich, M.F. Wehner, C.M. Zarzycki, and A.D. Jones (2022) “Asymmetric emergence of low-to-no snow in the American CordilleraNature Clim. Change 12, 1151–1159, doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01518-y.
  • (Available) Bower, E., K.A. Reed, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki and A.G. Pendergrass (2022) “Quantifying extreme precipitation throughout the entire tropical cyclone life cycleJ. Hydrometeor. 23 (12), 1645–1662, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0153.1.
  • (Available) Mukherjee, S., S.-Y. S. Wang, D. Hirschfeld, J. Lisonbee and R. Gillies (2022) “Feasibility of adding Twitter data to aid drought depiction: Case study in Colorado” Water 14 (18), 2773, doi: 10.3390/w14182773.
  • (Available) Feng, D., Liu, J., Lawson, K. and Shen, C. (2022) “Differentiable, learnable, regionalized process-based models with multiphysical outputs can approach state-of-the-art hydrologic prediction accuracyWater Resour. Res., 58(10), e2022WR032404, doi: 10.1029/2022WR032404.
  • (Available) Asselin, O., M. Leduc, D. Paquin, A. Di Luca, K. Winger, M. Bukovsky, B. Music and M. Giguere (2022) “On the intercontinental transferability of regional climate model response to severe forestation Climate, 10 (10), 138, doi: 10.3390/cli10100138.
  • (Available) Shepherd, T. J., J. Coburn, R. J. Barthelmie and S. C. Pryor (2022) “Exploring ENSO-induced anomalies over North America in historical and future climate simulations that use HadGEM2-ESM output to drive WRFClimate 10 (8), 117, doi: 10.3390/cli10080117.
  • (Available) Reed, K. A., N. Goldenson, R. Grotjahn, W. J. Gutowski, K. Jagannathan, A. D. Jones, L. R. Leung, S. A. McGinnis, S. C. Pryor, A. K. Srivastava, P. A. Ullrich, and C. M. Zarzycki (2022) “Metrics as tools for bridging science and applicationsWIREs Climate Change 13 (6), e799, doi: 10.1002/wcc.799.
  • (Available) Hatchett, B. J., A. M. Rhoades and D. J. McEvoy (2022) “Decline in seasonal snow during a projected 20-year dry spellHydrology 9 (9), 155, doi: 10.3390/hydrology9090155.
  • (Available) Huff, J. J. A., K. A. Reed, J. T. Bacmeister and M. F. Wehner (2022) “Evaluating the influence of CAM5 aerosol configuration on simulated tropical cyclones in the North AtlanticClimate 10, 130, doi: 10.3390/cli10090130.
  • (Available) Brockway, A.M., L. Wang, L.N. Dunn, D. Callaway and A.D. Jones (2022) “Climate-aware decision-making: Lessons for grid infrastructure planning and operationsEnv. Res. Lett. 17 (7), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7815.
  • (Available) Reed, A. T., A. M. Stansfield and K. A. Reed (2022) “Characterizing Long Island’s extreme precipitation and its attribution to tropical cyclonesAtmosphere 13, 1070, doi: 10.3390/atmos13071070.
  • (Available) Li, J., Y. Qian, L.R. Leung, Z. Feng, C. Sarangi, Y. Liu, and Z. Yang (2022) “Impacts of large-scale urbanization and irrigation on summer precipitation in the mid-Atlantic regionGeophys. Res. Lett. 49 (8), e2022GL097845, doi: 10.1029/2022GL097845.
  • (Available) Shenk, L. and W. J. Guowski (2022) “Mind the gaps! Climate scientists should heed lessons in collaborative storytelling from William ShakespeareWIREs Climate Change 13 (5) e783, doi: 10.1002/wcc.783.
  • (Available) McCrary, R. R., L.O. Mearns, M. Hughes, S. Biner, and M. Bukovsky (2022) “Projections of North American snow from NA-CORDEX and their uncertainties, with a focus on model resolutionClimatic Change 170 (3-4), 20, doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03294-8.
  • (Available) Maina, F.Z., A.M. Rhoades, E.R. Siirila-Woodburn, and P.-J. Dennedy-Frank (2022) “Projecting end of century climate extremes and their impacts on the hydrology of a representative California watershedHydrol. Earth Sys. Sci. 26 (13), 3589–3609, doi: 10.5194/hess-26-3589-2022.
  • (Available) Sukhdeo, R., P.A. Ullrich and R. Grotjahn (2022) “Assessing the large-scale drivers of precipitation in the Northeastern United States via linear orthogonal decompositionClimate Dyn. 59, 3657–3681, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06289-y.
  • (Editors’ Highlight) Marquardt Collow, A.B., C.A. Shields, B. Guan, S. Kim, J. M. Lora, E.E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Payne, K. Reid, E. J. Shearer, R. Tome, J. D. Wille, A. M. Ramos, I. V. Gorodetskaya, L.R. Leung, T. A. O’Brien, F. M. Ralph, J. Rutz, P. A. Ullrich, and M. Wehner (2022) “An overview of ARTMIP’s tier 2 reanalysis intercomparison: Uncertainty in the detection of atmospheric rivers and their associated precipitationJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 127 (8), e2021JD036155, doi: 10.1029/2021JD036155.
  • (Available) Coburn, J. J. and S.C. Pryor (2022) “Do machine learning approaches offer skill improvement for short-term forecasting of wind gust occurrence and magnitude?Weather and Forecasting 37 (5), 525–543, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0118.1.
  • (Available) Reed, K. A., M. F. Wehner, and C. M. Zarzycki (2022) “Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate changeNature Communications 13 (1905), doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-29379-1.
  • (Available) Fang, K., D. Kifer, K. Lawson, D. Feng and C. Shen (2022) “The data synergy effects of time-series deep learning models in hydrologyWater Resour. Res. e2021WR029583, doi: 10.1029/2021WR029583.
  • (Available) Hughes, M., D. Swales, J. D. Scott, M. Alexander, K. Mahoney, R. R. McCrary, R. Cifelli and M. Bukovsky (2022) “Changes in extreme integrated water vapor transport on the U.S. west coast in NA-CORDEX, and relationship to mountain and inland precipitationClimate Dyn. 59, 973–995, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06168-6.
  • (Editors’ Highlight) O’Brien, T.A., M.F. Wehner, A. Payne, C. Shields, J. Rutz, R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, B. Guan, J. Lora, E. McClenny, K. Nardi, A. Ramos, R. Tomé, C. Sarangi, E. Shearer, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, B. Loring, H. Huang, H. Inda Díaz, A.M. Rhoades, and Y. Zhou (2022) “Increases in future AR count and size: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 CMIP5/6 experimentJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 127 (6), e2021JD036013, doi: 10.1029/2021JD036013.
  • (Available) Sun, X., Q. Ding, S.-Y. Wang, D. Topál, Q. Li, C. Castro, H. Teng, R. Luo, Y. Ding (2022) “Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer.Nature Communications 13 (1288), doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28911-7.
  • (Available) Hatchett, B.J., A.M. Rhoades, and D.J. McEvoy (2022) “Monitoring the daily evolution and extent of snow droughtNat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 22, 869-890, doi: 10.5194/nhess-22-869-2022.
  • (Available) Liu, J., F. Rahmani, K. Lawson and C. Shen (2022) “A multiscale deep learning model for soil moisture integrating satellite and in situ data.” Geophys. Res. Lett. 49 (7), e2021GL096847, doi: 10.1029/2021GL096847.
  • (Available) Zhou, W., L.R. Leung, and J. Lu. (2022). “Seasonally dependent future changes in the US Midwest hydroclimate and extremes.J. Clim. 35, 17-27, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0012.1.
  • (Available) Qian, Y., T.C. Chakraborty, J. Li, D. Li, C. He, C. Sarangi, F. Chen, X. Yang, and L.R. Leung (2022) “Urbanization impact on regional climate and extreme weather: Current understanding, uncertainties, and future research directions.Adv. Atmos. Sci. 39, 819-860, doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-1371-9.
  • (Available) Aird, J. A., R. J. Barthelmie, T. J. Shepherd and S. C. Pryor (2022) “Occurrence of low-level jets over the eastern U.S. coastal zone at heights relevant to wind energy.Energies 15 (2), 445, doi: 10.3390/en15020445.
  • (Available) Wu, X., K.A. Reed, P. Callaghan and J.T. Bacmeister (2022) “Exploring western north Pacific tropical cyclone activity in the high-resolution Community Atmosphere Model.Earth Space Sci. 9 (1), e2021EA001862, doi: 10.1029/2021EA001862.
  • (Available) Zhang, W., V. Hari, S‐Y.S. Wang, M. D. LaPlante, G. Garfin, G. Affram and R. Kumar (2022) “Fewer troughs, not more ridges, have led to a drying trend in the western United States.Geophys. Res. Lett. 49 (1), e2021GL097089, doi: 10.1029/2021GL097089.

2021

  • (Available) Rendfrey, T.S., M.S. Bukovsky, R.R. McCrary, R. Fuentes-Franco (2020) “An assessment of tropical cyclones in North American CORDEX WRF simulationsWeather Clim. Extremes 34, 100382, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100382.
  • (Available) Yates, D., V. K. Mehta, A. Huber-Lee and A. McCluskey (2021) “Exploring the water-energy nexus in California via an integrative modeling approach.J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 147 (12), doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001431.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A. M., and K. A. Reed (2021) “Tropical cyclone precipitation response to surface warming in aquaplanet simulations with uniform thermal forcingJ. Geophys. Res.-Atmos. 126 (24), e2021JD035197, doi: 10.1029/2021JD035197.
  • (Available) Aird, J. A., E. W. Quon, R. J. Barthelmie, M. Debnath, P. Doubrawa and S. C. Pryor (2021) “Region-based convolutional neural network for wind turbine wake characterization in complex terrain.Remote Sens. 13 (21), 4438, doi: 10.3390/rs13214438.
  • (Available) Sarangi, C. Y. Qian, J. Li, L.R. Leung, T. Chakraborty, and Y. Liu (2021) “Urbanization amplifies nighttime heat stress on warmer days over the USGeophys. Res. Lett. 48, e2021GL095678, doi:10.1029/2021GL095678.
  • (Available) Rahmani, F., C. Shen, S. Oliver, K. Lawson, and A. Appling (2021) “Deep learning approaches for improving prediction of daily stream temperature in data-scarce, unmonitored, and dammed basinsHydrol. Proc. 35 (11), e14400, doi: 10.1002/hyp.14400.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C., Barthelmie R.J. and Shepherd T.J. (2021) “Wind power production from very large offshore wind farmsJoule 5 2663-2686, doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2021.09.002.
  • (Available) McGinnis, S. and L.O. Mearns (2021) “Building a climate service for North America based on the NA-CORDEX data archiveClimate Services 22, 100233, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100233.
  • (Available) Siirila-Woodburn, E.R., A.M. Rhoades, B.J. Hatchett, L.S. Huning, J. Szinai, C. Tague, P.S. Nico, D.R. Feldman, A.D. Jones, W.D. Collins and L. Kaatz (2021) “A low-to-no snow future and its impacts on water resources in the western United StatesNature Reviews Earth and Environment 2, 800–819, doi: 10.1038/s43017-021-00219-y.
  • (Available) Bambach, N.E., A.M. Rhoades, B.J. Hatchett, A.D. Jones, P.A. Ullrich, and C.M. Zarzycki (2021) “Projecting climate change in South America using variable-resolution Community Earth System Model: An application to ChileInt. J. Clim. 42 (4), 2514-2542, doi: 10.1002/joc.7379.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, P.A. Ullrich, and C. Zarzycki (2021) “Evaluation of precipitation indices in suites of dynamically and statistically downscaled regional climate models over FloridaClimate Dyn. 58, 1587-1611, doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05980-w.
  • (Available) Coburn, J. and S. C. Pryor (2021) “Differential credibility of climate modes in CMIP6.J. Clim. 34 (20), doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0359.1.
  • (Available) Xu, Z., A. Di Vittorio, J. Zhang, A.M. Rhoades, X. Xin, H. Xu, and C. Xiao (2021) “Evaluating variable-resolution CESM over the western U.S. and eastern China for use in water-energy nexus and impacts modelingJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (15), e2020JD034361, doi: 10.1029/2020JD034361.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, F. Song, and J. Lu (2021) “Uncertainty in El Niño-like warming and California precipitation changes linked by the IPONature Commun. 12, 6484, doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-26797-5.
  • (Available) Barthelmie, R. J. and S. C. Pryor (2021) “Climate change mitigation potential of wind energyClimate 9 (9), 136, doi: 10.3390/cli9090136.
  • (Available) W.P. Tsai, D. Feng, M. Pan, H. Beck, K. Lawson, Y. Yang, J. Liu, and Chaopeng Shen (2021) “From calibration to parameter learning: Harnessing the scaling effects of big data in geoscientific modelingNature Communications 12 (5988), doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-26107-z.
  • (Available) J.T. Kiehl, C.M. Zarzycki, C.A. Shields, and M.V.Rothsteinc (2021) “Simulated changes to tropical cyclones across the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) boundaryPalaeogeo., Palaeoclimat., Palaeoeco., 572, 110421, doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2021.110421.
  • (Available) Son, R., S.-Y. Wang, K. Seung Hee, K. Hyungjun, J.-H. Jeong, and J.-H. Yoon (2021) “Recurrent pattern of extreme fire weather in CaliforniaEnv. Res. Lett. 16 (9), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1f44.
  • (Available) Letson, F. W., R. J. Barthelmie, K. I. Hodges and S. C. Pryor (2021) “Intense windstorms in the northeastern United StatesNat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 2001-2020, doi: 10.5194/nhess-21-2001-2021.
  • (Available) Aird J.A., Barthelmie R.J., Shepherd T.J. and Pryor S.C. (2021) “WRF-simulated low-level jets over Iowa: Characterization and sensitivity studiesWind Energy Sciences 6 1015-1030, doi: 10.5194/wes-2020-113.
  • (Available) Chen, D., J. Norris, N. Goldenson, C. Thackeray, and A. Hall (2021) “A distinct atmospheric mode for California precipitationJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (12), e2020JD034403, doi: 10.1029/2020JD034403.
  • (Available) Song, F., Z. Feng, L.R. Leung, S. Wang, B. Pokharel, X. Chen, K. Sakaguchi, and C. Wang (2021) “Crucial roles of eastward propagating environments in the summer MCS initiation over the U.S. Great PlainsJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (16), e2021JD034991, doi: 10.1029/2021JD034991.
  • (Available) Hu, H., Z. Feng and L.R. Leung (2021) “Linking flood frequency with mesoscale convective systems in the central USGeophys. Res. Lett., 48, doi: 10.1029/2021GL092546.
  • (Available) Wang, S. S.-C., Y. Qian, L.R. Leung, and Y. Zhang (2021) “Identifying key drivers of wildfires in the contiguous US using machine learning and game theory interpretationEarth’s Future, 9, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001910
  • (Available) Xue, Z. and P.A. Ullrich (2021) “A comprehensive intermediate-term drought evaluation system and evaluation of climate data products over the conterminous United StatesJ. Hydrometeor. 22 (9), 2311-2337, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0314.1.
  • (Available) Xue, Z. and P.A. Ullrich (2021) “A retrospective and prospective examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast DroughtEarth’s Future 9 (7), e2020EF001930, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001930.
  • (Available) Ullrich, P.A., C.M. Zarzycki, E.E. McClenny, M.C. Pinheiro, A.M. Stansfield and K.A. Reed (2021) “TempestExtremes v2.1: A community framework for feature detection, tracking and analysis in large datasetsGeophys. Model Dev. 14 (8), doi: 10.5194/gmd-2020-303.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., M.D. Risser, D.A. Stone, M.F. Wehner, and A.D. Jones (2021) “Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damagesWeather Clim. Extr. 32, 100326, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100326.
  • (Available) Zhou, Y., T.A. O’Brien, P.A. Ullrich, W.D. Collins, C.M. Patricola and A.M. Rhoades (2021) “Uncertainties in atmospheric river life cycles by detection algorithms: Climatology and variabilityJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (8), e2020JD033711, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033711.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, Y. Qian, Y. Zou, F. Song, and X. Chen (2021) “Meteorological environments associated with California wildfires and their potential roles in wildfire changes during 1984-2017J. Geophys. Res. 126 (5), e2020JD033180, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033180.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, and Y. Liu (2021) “Response of U.S. West Coast mountain snowpack to local SST perturbations: Insights from numerical modeling and machine learning modelsJ. Hydrometeor. 22 (4), pp. 1045-1062, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0127.1.
  • (Available) Chen, M., Y. Cui, P.W. Gassman, and R. Srinivasan (2021) “Effect of watershed delineation and climate datasets density on runoff predictions for the Upper Mississippi River Basin using SWAT within HAWQSWater 13(4), 422, doi: 10.3390/w13040422.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J., S.-Y. Wang, Z. Johnson, and Y. Chikamoto (2021) “Atmospheric rivers impacting Northern California exhibit a quasi-decadal frequencyJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 126 (15), e2020JD034196, doi: 10.1029/2020JD034196.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J., S.-Y. Wang, M. LaPlante, and J.-H. Yoon (2021) “Three western pacific typhoons strengthened fire weather in the recent northwest U.S. conflagrationGeophys. Res. Lett. 48 (3), e2020GL091430, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091430.
  • (Available) Meyer, J. D. D., S.-Y. Wang, R. R. Gillies, and J.-H. Yoon (2021) “Evaluating NA-CORDEX historical performance and future change of western U.S. precipitation patterns and modes of variabilityInt. J. Climat. 41 (9), pp. 4509-4532, doi: 10.1002/joc.7083.
  • (Available) Son, R., Kim, H., Wang, S.Y.S., Jeong, J.H., Woo, S.H., Jeong, J.Y., Lee, B.D., Kim, S.H., LaPlante, M.D., Kwon, C.G. and Yoon, J.H. (2021) “Changes in fire weather climatology under 1.5C and 2.0C warmingEnv. Res. Lett., 16, 034058, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe675.
  • (Available) Dong, L., and L.R. Leung (2021) “Winter precipitation changes in California under global warming: Contributions of CO2, uniform SST warming, and SST patternsGeophys. Res. Lett. 48 (5), e2020GL091736, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091736.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and F. Song (2021) “Double-ITCZ as an emergent constraint for future precipitation over Mediterranean climate regions in the North HemisphereGeophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091569, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091569.
  • (Available) Barthelmie, R.J., Dantuono, K.E., Renner, E.J., Letson, F.L. and Pryor, S.C. (2021) “Extreme wind and waves in US East Coast offshore wind energy lease areasEnergies, 14(4), p.1053, doi: 10.3390/en14041053.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C. and Barthelmie, R.J. (2021) “A global assessment of extreme wind speeds for wind energy applicationsNature Energy 6, 268-276, doi: 10.1038/s41560-020-00773-7.
  • (Available) Son, R., Kim, H., Wang, S.Y.S., Jeong, J.H., Woo, S.H., Jeong, J.Y., Lee, B.D., Kim, S.H., LaPlante, M.D., Kwon, C.G. and Yoon, J.H. (2021) “Changes in fire weather climatology under 1.5C and 2.0C warmingEnv. Res. Letters 16 (3), p. 034058, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe675.
  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M., P.A. Ullrich, and K.A. Reed (2021) “Metrics for evaluating tropical cyclones in climate dataJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 60(5), 643-660, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0149.1.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2021) “Pooling data improves multimodel IDF estimates over median-based IDF estimates: Analysis over Susquehanna and FloridaJ. Hydrometeor. 22(4), 971-995, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0180.1.
  • (Available) Feng, Z., F. Song, K. Sakaguchi, and L.R. Leung (2021) “Evaluation of mesoscale convective systems in climate simulations: Methodological development and results from MPAS-CAM over the U.S.J. Clim., 34(7), 2611-2633, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0136.1.

2020

  • (Available) Chikamoto, Y., S.-Y. Wang, M. Yost, L. Yocom, and R. R. Gillies (2020) “Colorado River water supply is predictable on multi-year timescales owing to long-term ocean memory(Nature) Communications Earth & Environment 1, doi: 10.1038/s43247-020-00027-0.
  • (Available) Chikamoto, Y., Z. Johnson, S.-Y. Wang, M. J. McPhaden, and T. Mochizuki (2020) “El Niño Southern Oscillation evolution modulated by Atlantic forcing“, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 125 (8), e2020JC016318, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016318.
  • (Available) Promchote, P., S.-Y. Wang, B. Black, and P. G. Johnson (2020) “Subseasonal prediction for bloom dates of tart cherries in Utah and Michigan, USA: Merging phenological models with CFSv2 forecastInt. J. Biometeor. 64, pp. 2141–2152, doi: 10.1007/s00484-020-02005-9.
  • (Available) Lee, D., S.-Y. Wang, L. Zhao, H. C. Kim, K. Kim, and J.-H. Yoon (2020) “Long-term increase in atmospheric stagnant conditions over northeast Asia and the role of greenhouse gases-driven warmingAtmos. Env. 241, 117772, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117772.
  • (Available) Huang, X., S. Stevenson and A.D. Hall (2020) “Future warming and intensification of precipitation extremes: A ‘double whammy’ leading to increasing flood risk in CaliforniaGeophys. Res. Lett. 47 (16), e2020GL088679, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088679.
  • (Available) Huang, X., D.L. Swain and A.D. Hall (2020) “Future precipitation increase from very high resolution ensemble downscaling of extreme atmospheric river storms in CaliforniaSci. Advances 6 (29), eaba1323, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aba1323.
  • (Available) Huang, X., D.L. Swain, D.B. Walton, S. Stevenson and A.D. Hall (2020) “Simulating and evaluating atmospheric river-induced precipitation extremes along the U.S. Pacific Coast: Case studies from 1980–2017J. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125(4), e2019JD031554, doi: 10.1029/2019JD031554.
  • (Available) Letson F., Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) “Modelling hail and convective storms with WRF for wind energy applicationsJ. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1452 012051, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012051.
  • (Available) Barthelmie, R.J., T.J. Shepherd and S.C. Pryor (2020) “Increasing turbine dimensions: impact on shear and powerJ. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 062024, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/6/062024.
  • (Available) Letson, F., R.J. Barthelmie and S.C. Pryor (2020) “Sub-regional variability in wind turbine blade leading-edge erosion potentialJ. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 032046, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/3/032046.
  • (Available) Aird, J.A., R.J. Barthelmie, T.J. Shepherd and S.C. Pryor (2020) “WRF-simulated springtime low-level jets over Iowa: Implications for wind energyJ. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 1618 062020, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1618/6/062020.
  • (Available | Editors’ Highlight) Szinai, J.K., R. Deshmukh, D.M. Kammen, and A.D. Jones (2020) “Evaluating cross-sectoral impacts of climate change and adaptations on the energy-water nexus: a framework and California case studyEnv. Res. Letters 15 (12), 124065, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc378.
  • (Available) Chen, X., and L.-Y. R. Leung (2020) “Response of landfalling atmospheric rivers on the U.S. West Coast to local sea surface temperature perturbationsGeophs. Res. Lett. 47 (18), e2020GL089254, doi: 10.1029/2020GL089254.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C., Letson, F.W. and R.J. Barthelmie (2020) “Variability in Wind Energy Generation across the Contiguous United StatesJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59(12), 2021-2039, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0162.1.
  • (Available) Letson, F., Shepherd, T.J., Barthelmie, R.J. and Pryor, S.C. (2020) “WRF Modeling of Deep Convection and Hail for Wind Power ApplicationsJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59 (10), pp. 1717-1733, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0033.1.
  • (Available) Fang, K., Kifer, D., Lawson, K. and Shen, C. (2020) “Evaluating the potential and challenges of an uncertainty quantification method for long short-term memory models for soil moisture predictionsWater Resources Res. 56 (12), e2020WR028095, doi: 10.1029/2020WR028095.
  • (Available) McClenny, E., P.A. Ullrich, and R. Grotjahn (2020) “Sensitivity of atmospheric river vapor transport and precipitation to uniform sea-surface temperature increasesJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125 (21), e2020JD033421, doi: 10.1029/2020JD033421.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J., Bukovsky M.S., Leung L.R. and Sakaguchi K. (2020) “Climate change impacts on wind power generationNature Reviews: Earth and Environment 1, 627–643, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0101-7.
  • (Available) Duan, S., Ullrich, P.A., and Shu, L. (2020) “Using Convolutional Neural Networks for streamflow projection in CaliforniaFrontiers in Water, doi: 10.3389/frwa.2020.00028.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.Y.S. Wang, H. Gu, M.D. LaPlante, J. Serago, R. Gillies, J. Meyer, S. Beall and K. Ikeda (2020) “A modeling examination of cloud seeding conditions under the warmer climate in Utah, USA.Atmos. Res., p.105239, doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105239.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, A. Srivastava, H. Huang, T.A. O’Brien, C.M. Patricola, P.A. Ullrich, M. Wehner, and Y. Zhou (2020) “The shifting scales of Western US landfalling atmospheric rivers under climate changeGeophys. Res. Lett., 2020GL089096, doi: 10.1029/2020GL089096.
  • (Available) Balaguru, K., L.-Y. R. Leung, L. van Roekel, J.-C. Golaz, P.A. Ullrich, P. Caldwell, S. Hagos, B. Harrop, and A. Mametjanov (2020) “Characterizing Tropical Cyclones in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. 12(8), p.e2019MS002024, doi: 10.1029/2019MS002024.
  • (Available) Pryor, S.C. and Schoof, J.T. (2020) “Differential credibility assessment for statistical downscalingJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 59(8), pp.1333-1349, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0296.1.
  • (Available) Barthelmie R.J., Shepherd T.J., Aird J.A. and Pryor S.C. (2020) “Power and wind shear implications of large wind turbine scenarios in the U.S. Central PlainsEnergies 13(16), 4269 doi: 10.3390/en13164269.
  • (Available) Roberts, M., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich, Y. Yamada, R. Mizuta, C. Kodama, D. Fu, Q. Zhang, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, H. Wang and L. Wu (2020) “Projected future changes in tropical cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP multi-model ensembleJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 47 (14), e2020GL088662, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088662.
  • (Available) Park, J., H. Kim, S.-Y. Wang, et al. (2020) “Intensification of the East Asian summer monsoon lifecycle based on observation and CMIP6Env. Res. Lett. 15 (9), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9b3f.
  • (Available) Zhao, L., S.-Y. Wang, E. Becker, J.-H. Yoon, and A. Mukherjee (2020) “Cyclone Fani: The tug-of-war between regional warming and anthropogenic aerosol effectsEnv. Res. Letter. 15 (9), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab91e7.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2020) “Evaluation of historical CMIP6 model simulations of extreme precipitation over contiguous US regionsWeather Clim. Extr. 29, 100268, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100268.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A. M., K. A. Reed and C. M. Zarzycki (2020) “Changes in precipitation from North Atlantic tropical cyclones under RCP scenarios in the variable-resolution Community Atmosphere ModelGeophys. Res. Lett. 47 (12), e2019GL086930, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086930.
  • (Available) Johnson, Z. F., Y. Chikamoto, S.-Y. Wang, M. J. McPhaden, and T. Mochizuki (2020) “Pacific Decadal Oscillation remotely forced by the equatorial Pacific and the Atlantic OceansClim. Dyn. 55, pp. 789–811, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05295-2.
  • (Available) Fosu, B., J. He, and S.-Y. Wang (2020) “The influence of wintertime SST variability in the Western North Pacific on ENSO diversityClim. Dyn. 54, 3641–3654, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05193-7.
  • (Available) Tung, Y.-S., S.-Y. Wang, J.-L. Chu, C.-H. Wu, Y.-M. Chen, C.-T. Cheng, and L.-Y. Lin (2020) “Projected increase of the East Asian summer monsoon (Meiyu) in Taiwan by climate models with variable performanceMeteor. Appl. (RMS) 27 (1), e1886, doi: 10.1002/met.1886.
  • (Available) Tan, M.L., Gassman, P., Yang, X. and Haywood, J. (2020) “A review of SWAT applications, performance and future needs for simulation of hydro-climatic extremesAdv. Water Res. 143, p.103662, doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2020.103662.
  • (Available) Chen, M., Gassman, P.W., Srinivasan, R., Cui, Y. and Arritt, R. (2020) “Analysis of alternative climate datasets and evapotranspiration methods for the Upper Mississippi River Basin using SWAT within HAWQSSci. Total Env. 720, p.137562, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137562.
  • (Available) Moon, Y., D. Kim, S. J. Camargo, A. A. Wing, K. A. Reed, M. F. Wehner and M. Zhao (2020) “A new method to construct a horizontal resolution‐dependent wind speed adjustment factor for tropical cyclones in global climate model simulationsGeophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL087528, doi: 10.1029/2020GL087528.
  • (Available) Payne, A.E., M.-E. Demory, A. Hall, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, A.M. Ramos, J.J. Rutz, C.A. Shields, N. Siler, and G. Villarini (2020) “Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate changeNat. Rev. Earth & Environ. 1, pp. 143–157, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0030-5.
  • (Available) Pendergrass, A.G., P. Gleckler, L.R. Leung, and C. Jakob (2020) “Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation in Earth System ModelsBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101 (6), E814–E816, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0318.1.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., A.D. Jones and A.C. Kerr (2020) “Implications of climate model selection for projections of decision-relevant metrics: A case study of chill hours in CaliforniaClim. Serv. 18, 100154, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100154.
  • (Available) Gutowski, W.J., P.A. Ullrich, A. Hall, L.R. Leung, T.A. O’Brien, C.M. Patricola, R.W. Arritt, M.S. Bukovsky, K.V. Calvin, Z. Feng, A.D. Jones, G.J. Kooperman, E. Monier, M.S. Pritchard, S.C. Pryor, Y. Qian, A.M. Rhoades, A.F. Roberts, K. Sakaguchi, N. Urban, and C. Zarzycki (2020) “The ongoing need for high-resolution regional climate models: Process understanding and stakeholder informationBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101 (5), E664-683, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0113.1.
  • (Available) Fang, K. and C. Shen (2020) “Near-real-time forecast of satellite-based soil moisture using long short-term memory with an adaptive data integration kernelJ. Hydrometeor. 21(3), pp. 399-413, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0169.1

2019

  • (Available) Chen, X. and F. Hossain (2019) “Understanding future safety of dams in a changing climateBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 100(8), 1395-1404, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0150.1.
  • (Available) Chavas, D. R., and K. A. Reed (2019) “Dynamical aquaplanet experiments with uniform thermal forcing: system dynamics and implications for tropical cyclone genesis and size“, J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 2257-2274, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0001.1.
  • (Available) Plucinski, B., Y. Sun, S.-Y. Wang, R. R. Gillies, J. Eklund, and C.-C. Wang (2019) “Feasibility of Multi-Year Forecast for the Colorado River Water Supply: Time Series ModelingWater 11(12), 2433, doi: 10.3390/w11122433. [co-authored with our stakeholder James Eklund]
  • (Available) Cohen, J., X. Zhang, J. Francis, T. Jung, R. Kwok, J. Overland, T. J. Ballinger, U. S. Bhatt, H. W. Chen, D. Coumou, S. Feldstein, H. Gu, D. Handorf, G. Henderson, M. Ionita, M. Kretschmer, F. Laliberte, S. Lee, H. W. Linderholm, W. Maslowski, Y. Peings, K. Pfeiffer, I. Rigor, T. Semmler, J. Stroeve, P. C. Taylor, S. Vavrus, T. Vihma, S. Wang, M. Wendisch, Y. Wu, and J. Yoon (2019) “Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weatherNature Clim. Change 10, 20-29, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0662-y.
  • (Available) Chien, Y.-T., S.-Y. Wang, Y. Chikamoto, S.L. Voelker, J.D.D. Meyer, and J.-H. Yoon (2019) “North American winter dipole: Observed and simulated changes in circulationsAtmosphere 10(12), 793, doi: 10.3390/atmos10120793.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.-Y. Wang, J. Meyer, S. Marahatta, B. Nepal, Y. Chikamoto, and R. Gillies (2019) “The east-west division of changing precipitation in NepalInt. J. Climat. 40 (7), pp. 3348-3359, doi: 10.1002/joc.6401.
  • (Available) Son, R., S.-Y. Wang, W.-L. Tseng, C.W. Barreto Schuler, E. Becker, and J.-H. Yoon (2019) “Climate diagnostics of the extreme floods in Peru during early 2017” Clim. Dyn. 54, pp. 935–945, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05038-y.
  • (Available) Rutz, J., C. Shields, J. Lora, A. Payne, B. Guan, P.A. Ullrich, T. O’Brien, R. Leung, F. Ralph, M. Wehner, S. Brands, A. Collow, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, I. Gorodetskaya, H. Griffith, S. Hagos, K. Kashinath, B. Kawzenuk, H. Krishnan, D. Lavers, G. Magnusdottir, P. Nguyen, Prabhat, A. Ramos, S. Sellars, R. Tomé, D. Walister, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, and M. Viale (2019) “The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying uncertainties in atmospheric river climatologyJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 124(24) pp. 13,777-13,802, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030936.

Past Publications from the FACETS Project

2020

  • (Available) Bukovsky, M.S., J. Gao, L. Mearns, and B. O’Neill (2020) “SSP-based land use change scenarios: a critical uncertainty in future regional climate change projectionsEarth’s Future, 9, e2020EF001782, doi: 10.1029/2020EF001782.
  • (Available) Bukovsky M.S., and L.O. Mearns (2020) “Regional climate change projections from NA-CORDEX and their relation to climate sensitivityClimatic Change 162, 645-665, doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02835-x.
  • (Available) Letson, F, T Shepherd, R Barthelmie, and S Pryor (2020) “Modelling hail and convective storms with WRF for wind energy applicationsJ. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012051, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012051.
  • (Available) Li, S, R Barthelmie, G Bewley, and S Pryor (2020) “Effects of hydrometeor droplet characteristics on wind turbine blade leading edge erosionJ. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012053, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012053.
  • (Available) Pryor, S, T Shepherd, M Bukovsky, and R Barthelmie (2020) “Assessing the stability of wind resource and wind turbine operating conditionsJ. Phys.: Conference Series 1452: 012084, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1452/1/012084.
  • (Available) Gao, J. and B.C. O’Neill (2020) “Mapping global urban land for the 21st century with data-driven simulations and Shared Socioeconomic PathwaysNature Communications, 11(1), pp.1-12, doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-15788-7.
  • (Available) Chen L., Zhang R., Pryor S.C., Li X. and Wang H. (2020) “Influence of wintertime surface sensible heat flux variability over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian winter monsoon.Climate Dynamics 54 4589-4603, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05246-x.
  • (Available) Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) “Sensitivity of wind turbine array downstream effects to the parameterization used in WRF.J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59, pp 333-361, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0135.1.
  • (Available) Letson F.W., Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2020) “RADAR-derived precipitation climatology for wind turbine blade leading edge erosion.” Wind Energy Science, 5 331-347, doi: 10.5194/wes-5-331-2020.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J. and Shepherd T.J. (2020) “20% of US electricity from wind will have limited impacts on system efficiency and regional climateNature: Scientific Reports, 10, 541, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-57371-1.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J., Volker P., Hahmann A.N. and Barthelmie R.J. (2020) “‘Wind theft’ from onshore wind turbine arrays: Sensitivity to wind farm parameterization and resolutionJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 59 pp. 153-174, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0235.1.

2019

  • (Available) Glisan, J. M., R. Jones, C. Lennard, N. I. Castillo Pérez, P. Lucas-Picher, A. Rinke, S. Solman and W. J. Gutowski, Jr. (2019) “A metrics-based analysis of seasonal daily precipitation and near-surface temperature within seven CORDEX domainsAtm. Sci. Lett., Article ASL897 (online). doi: 10.1002/asl.897.
  • (Available) Smalley, K. M. (u), J. M. Glisan (p) and W. J. Gutowski, Jr. (2019) “Alaska daily extreme precipitation processes in a subset of CMIP5 global climate modelsJ. Geophys. Res. Atm., 124 (8), 4584-4600, doi: 10.1029/2018JD028643.
  • (Available) Gao, J. and B.C. O’Neill (2019) “Data-driven spatial modeling of global long-term urban land development: The SELECT modelEnv. Model. Software 119, pp.458-471, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.06.015.
  • (Available) Pryor, SC, and JT Schoof (2019) “A hierarchical analysis of the impact of methodological decisions on statistical downscaling of daily precipitation and air temperaturesInt. J. Climat. 39(6): 2880-2900, doi: 10.1002/joc.5990.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J., Barthelmie R.J., Hahmann A., and Volker P. (2019) “Wind farm wakes simulated using WRFJ. Phys: Conf. Series 1256 012025, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1256/1/012025.
  • (Available) Chen L., Pryor S.C., Wang H. and Zhang R. (2019) “Distribution and variation of the surface sensible heat flux over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau: Comparison of station observations and multi-reanalysis productsJ. Geophys. Res. Atm., 124, pp. 6191-6206, doi: 10.1029/2018JD030069.
  • (Available) Schoof J.T., Pryor S.C., and Ford T. (2019) “Projected changes in United States regional extreme heat days derived from bivariate quantile mapping of CMIP5 simulationsJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 124, pp. 5214-5232, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029599.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C. and Schoof J.T. (2019) “A hierarchical analysis of the impact of methodological decisions on statistical downscaling of daily precipitation and air temperaturesInt. J. Clim. 39, pp. 2880-2900, doi: 10.1002/joc.5990.
  • (Available) Barlow, M., W.J. Gutowski Jr., J.R. Gyakum, R.W. Katz, Y.-K. Lim, R.S. Schumacher, M.F. Wehner, L. Agel, M. Bosilovich, A. Collow, A. Gershunov, R. Grotjahn, L.R. Leung, S. Milrad, and S.-K. Min. (2019) “North American Extreme Precipitation Events and Related Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns: A Review of Statistical Methods, Dynamics, Modeling, and TrendsClim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04958-z.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and Y. Gao (2019) “Contributions of extreme and non-extreme precipitation to California precipitation seasonality changes under warmingGeophys. Res. Lett. 46, doi: 10.1029/2019GL084225.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and F. Song (2019) “Mechanisms for an amplified precipitation seasonal cycle in the U.S. West Coast under global warmingJ. Clim. 32, 4681-4698, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0093.1.
  • (Available) Bukovsky, M.S., J. Thompson, and L.O. Mearns (2019) “The effect of weighting on the NARCCAP ensemble mean. Does it make a difference? Can it make a difference?Clim. Res., 77, 23-43, doi: 10.3354/cr01541.
  • (Available) Barthelmie R.J. and Pryor S.C. (2019) “The impact of wind direction yaw angle on cliff flowsWind Energy, 21 (12), pp. 1254-1264, doi: 10.1002/we.2227.

2018

  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, and F. Song (2018) “Future Changes of Subseasonal Precipitation Variability in North America During Winter Under Global WarmingGeophys. Res. Lett. 45, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079900.
  • (Available) Rendfrey, T., M. Bukovsky, and S. McGinnis (2018) “NA-CORDEX Visualization Collection” UCAR/NCAR, Boulder CO, doi: 10.5065/90ZF-H771.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., and Coauthors (inc. L.R. Leung, Y. Qian, N. Goldenson) (2018) “Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Experimental Design and Project GoalsGeosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455-2474, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
  • (Available) Song, F., L.R. Leung, J. Lu, and L. Dong (2018) “Future changes in seasonality of the North Pacific and North Atlantic subtropical highsGeophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2018GL079940.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., J.J. Rutz, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, M. Wehner, T. O’Brien, and R. Pierce (2018) “Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking MethodsBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C. and Hahmann A.N. (2019) “Downscaling wind” In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.730.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J. and Shepherd T.J. (2018) “The influence of real-world wind turbine deployments on local to mesoscale climateJ. Geophys. Res. Atm., 123, 5804-5826, doi: 10.1029/2017JD028114.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Barthelmie R.J., Hahmann A., Shepherd T.J., Volker P. (2018) “Downstream effects from contemporary wind turbine deploymentsJ. Phys.: Conference Series 1037 072010, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1037/7/072010.
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Shepherd T.J. and Barthelmie R.J. (2018) “Inter-annual variability of wind climates and wind turbine annual energy productionWind Energy Sci., 3, 651-665, doi: 10.5194/wes-3-651-2018.
  • (Available) Lu, C., Z. Yu, H. Tian, D. Hennessy, H. Feng, M. Al-Kaisi, Y. Zhou, T. Sauer and R. Arritt (2018) “Increasing carbon footprint of grain crop production in the U.S. Western Corn BeltEnviron. Res. Lett. 13 (12) 124007, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aae9fe.
  • (Available) Letson F., Barthelmie R.J., Hu W., and Pryor S.C. (2018) “Characterizing wind gusts in complex terrainAtm. Chem. Phys. Disc., 19, 3797–3819, doi: 10.5194/acp-19-3797-2019.
  • (Available) Hu W., Letson F., Barthelmie R.J., and Pryor S.C. (2018) “Wind gust characterization at wind turbine relevant heights in moderately complex terrainJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 57, 1459-1476, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0040.1.
  • (Available) Dong, L., L.R. Leung, F. Song, and J. Lu. (2018) “Roles of SST Forcing and Internal Atmospheric Variability in Winter Extreme Precipitation Variability Along the U.S. West CoastJ. Climate, 31, 8039-8058, doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0062.1.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2018) “Predictability of extreme precipitation in western U.S. watersheds based on atmospheric river occurrence, intensity, and durationGeophys. Res. Lett. 45 (21), pp. 11,693-11,701, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079831.

2017

  • (Available) Mearns, L.O., McGinnis, S., Korytina, D., Arritt, R., Biner, S., Bukovsky, M., Chang, H.I., Christensen, O., Herzmann, D., Jiao, Y. and Kharin, S. (2017) “The NA-CORDEX dataset, version 1.0NCAR Climate Data Gateway. Boulder (CO): The North American CORDEX Program, doi: 10.5065/D6SJ1JCH.
  • (Available) Maraun et al (incl. L. Mearns) (2017) “Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulationsNature Climate Change, 7, 764-773, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE3418.
  • (Available) McCrary, Rachel R., McGinnis, Seth, Mearns, Linda O. (2017) “Evaluation of Snow Water Equivalent in NARCCAP Simulations, Including Measures of Observational Uncertainty” J. Hydrometeor., 18, 2425-2452, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0264.1
  • (Available) Pryor S.C., Sullivan R.C. and Schoof J.T. (2017) “Modeling the contributioons of global air temperature, synoptic-scale phenomena and soil moisture to near-surface static energy variability using artificial neural networksAtm. Chem. Phys., 17, 14457-14471, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-14457-2017.
  • (Available) Schoof J.T., Ford T. and Pryor S.C. (2017) “Recent changes in United States heat wave characteristics derived from mul8ple reanalysesJ. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 56, 2621-2636, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0393.1.
  • (Available) Yang, X., L.R. Leung, N. Zhao, C. Zhao, Y. Qian, K. Hu, X. Liu, and B. Chen (2017) “Contribution of urbanization to the increase of extreme heat events in an urban agglomeration in East ChinaGeophys. Res. Lett., 122, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074084.

Past Publications from Project Hyperion

2020

  • (Available) Tsai, W-P., K. Fang, X.Y. Ji, K. Lawson, and C.P. Shen (2020) “Revealing causal controls of storage-streamflow relationships with a data-centric Bayesian framework combining machine learning and process-based modelingFront. Water, doi: 10.3389/frwa.2020.583000.
  • (Available | arXiv) Feng, D.P., K. Fang, and C.P. Shen (2020) “Enhancing streamflow forecast and extracting insights using long short term memory networks that assimilate recent observationsWater Resour. Res. 56 (9), e2019WR026793, doi: 10.1029/2019WR026793.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, T.A. O’Brien, J.P. O’Brien, P.A. Ullrich, and C.M. Zarzycki (2020) “Influences of North Pacific Ocean domain extent on the western US winter hydroclimatology in variable-resolution CESMJ. Geophys. Res. Atm. 125(14), e2019JD031977, doi: 10.1029/2019JD031977.
  • (Available) Stansfield, A., K.A. Reed, C.M. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich, and D.R. Chevas (2020) “Assessing tropical cyclones’ contribution to precipitation over the Eastern United States and sensitivity to the variable-resolution domain extentJ. Hydrometeor. 21(7), 1425-1445, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0240.1.
  • (Available) Jagannathan, K., A.D. Jones, and I. Ray (2020) “The making of a metric: Co-producing decision-relevant climate scienceBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0296.1.
  • (Available) Roberts, M., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P.L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vanniere, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P.A. Ullrich (2020) “Impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone simulation using the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensembleJ. Clim. 33(7), pp. 2557-2583, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1.
  • (Available) Wang, M., P.A. Ullrich, and D. Millstein (2020) “Future projections of wind patterns in California with the Variable-Resolution CESM: A clustering analysis approachClim. Dyn. 54, pp. 2511-2531, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05125-5.

2019

  • (Available) Patricola, C.M., J.P. O’Brien, M.D. Risser, A.M. Rhoades, T.A. O’Brien, P.A. Ullrich, D.A. Stone, and W.D. Collins (2019) “Maximizing ENSO as a source of Western US hydroclimate predictabilityClim. Dyn. 54, pp. 351–372, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05004-8.
  • (Available | Editors’ Highlight) Chen, X., Z. Duan, L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) “A framework to delineate precipitation-runoff regimes: Precipitation vs. snowpack in the Western U.S.Geophys. Res. Lett. 46 (22), pp. 13,044-13,053, doi: 10.1029/2019GL085184.
  • (Available) Xu, Y., A.D. Jones, and A.M. Rhoades (2019) “A quantitative method to decompose SWE differences between regional climate models and reanalysis datasetsScientific Reports, 9, 16520, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-52880-5.
  • (Available) Swenson, L. M., and R. Grotjahn (2019) “Using self-organizing maps to identify coherent CONUS precipitation regionsJ. Clim. 32 (22), pp. 7747-7761, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0352.1.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., H. Kim, D. Coumou, J.-H. Yoon, L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2019) “Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm?Atm. Sci. Lett. 20 (10), e933, doi: 10.1002/asl.933.
  • (Available) Stuivenvolt Allen, J. J. and S.-Y. Wang (2019) “Data-mining climate variability as an indicator of U.S. natural gas“, Frontiers in Big Data (special issue on Data-driven Climate Sciences) 2, pp. 20, doi: 10.3389/fdata.2019.00020.
  • (Available) O’Brien. J. P., T. A. O’Brien, C. M. Patricola, S.-Y. Wang (2019) “Metrics for Understanding Large-scale Controls of Multivariate Temperature and Precipitation VariabilityClim. Dyn. 53 (7-8), pp. 3805-3823, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04749-6.
  • (Available) Wu, Y.-C., S.-Y. Wang, Y.-C. Yu, C.-Y. Kung, A.-H. Wang , S. A. Los., W.-R. Huang (2019) “Climatology and Change of Extreme Precipitation Events in Taiwan Based on Weather TypesInt. J. Climat. 39 (14), pp. 5351-5366, doi: 10.1002/joc.6159.
  • (Available) Srivastava, A., R. Grotjahn, and P.A. Ullrich (2019) “A unified approach to evaluating precipitation frequency estimates with uncertainty quantification: Application to Florida and California watershedsJ. Hydrology 578, pp. 124095, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124095.
  • (Available) Pinheiro, M.C., P.A. Ullrich, and R. Grotjahn (2019) “Atmospheric blocking and intercomparison of objective detection methods: Flow field characteristicsClim. Dyn. 53 (7-8), pp. 4189-4216, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04782-5.
  • (Available | Editors’ Highlight) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2019) “Impact of atmospheric rivers on surface hydrological processes in Western U.S. watershedsJ. Geophys. Res., 124, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030468, Editor Highlighted.
  • (Available) van Kampenhout, L., A.M. Rhoades, A.R. Herrington, C.M. Zarzycki, J.T.M. Lenaerts, W.J. Sacks, and M.R. van den Broeke (2019) “Regional Grid Refinement in an Earth System Model: Impacts on the Simulated Greenland Surface Mass BalanceThe Cryosphere 13, pp. 1547–1564, doi: 10.5194/tc-13-1547-2019.
  • (Available) Ji, X.Y., L. Lesack, J.M. Melack, S. Wang, W.J. Riley, C.P. Shen (2019) “Seasonal and inter-annual patterns and controls of hydrological fluxes in an Amazon floodplain lake with a surface-subsurface processes model“, Water Resources Research 55(4), pp. 3056-3075, doi: 10.1029/2018WR023897.
  • (Available) Lee, Y.-Y., and R. Grotjahn (2019) “Evidence of specific MJO phase occurrence with summertime California Central Valley extreme hot weatherAdv. Atmos. Sci., 36(6), doi: 10.1007/s00376-019-8167-1.
  • (Available) Shields, C.A., J.J. Rutz, L.R. Leung, F.M. Ralph, M. Wehner, T. O’Brien, and R. Pierce (2019). “Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking MethodsBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. ES93-ES96, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1.
  • (Available) Reed, K. A., J. T. Bacmeister, J. J. A. Huff, X. Wu, S. C. Bates and N. A. Rosenbloom (2019) “Exploring the impact of dust on North Atlantic Hurricanes in a high-resolution climate modelGeophys. Res. Lett., 46 (2), pp. 1105–1112, doi: 10.1029/2018gl080642.

2018

  • (Available) Shen, C.P., E. Laloy, A. Elshorbagy, A. Albert, J. Bales, F.-J. Chang, S. Ganguly, K.-L. Hsu, D. Kifer, Z. Fang, K. Fang, D. Li, X. Li, and W.-P. Tsai (2018) “HESS Opinions: Incubating deep-learning-powered hydrologic science advances as a community“, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, pp. 5639-5656, doi: 10.5194/hess-22-5639-2018.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) “The Changing Character of the California Sierra Nevada as a Natural ReservoirGeophys. Res. Lett., 45 (23), pp. 13,008-13,019, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080308.
  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. (2018) “Projecting changes in societally-impactful northeastern U.S. snowstormsGeophys. Res. Lett., 45 (21), pp. 12,067-12,075, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079820.
  • (Available) Chen, X., L.R. Leung, Y. Gao, Y. Liu, M. Wigmosta, and M. Richmond (2018) “Predictability of Extreme Precipitation in Western U.S. Watersheds Based on Atmospheric River Occurrence, Intensity, and Duration” Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079831.
  • (Available) Ullrich, P.A., Z. Xu, A.M Rhoades, M.D. Dettinger, J.F. Mount, A.D. Jones, and P. Vahmani (2018) “California’s drought of the future: A midcentury recreation of the exceptional conditions of 2012‐2017Earth’s Future, 6 (11), pp. 1568-1587, doi: 10.1029/2018EF001007.
  • (Available) Shen, C. (2018) “A trans-disciplinary review of deep learning research and its relevance for water resources scientistsWater Resour. Res., 54 (11), pp. 8558-8593, doi: 10.1029/2018WR022643.
  • (Available) Pokharel, B., S.Y.S. Wang, J. Meyer, R. Gillies and Y.H. Lin (2018) “Climate of the weakly-forced yet high-impact convective storms throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United StatesClim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4472-0.
  • (Available) Wehner, M. F., K. A. Reed, B. Loring, D. Stone and H. Krishnan (2018), “Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5C and 2.0C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols“, Earth System Dyn., 9, pp. 187-195, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-187-2018.
  • (Available) Huang, X., A.D. Hall and N. Berg (2018) “Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today’s Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood RiskGeophys. Res. Lett. 45(12), pp.6215-6222, doi: 10.1029/2018GL077432.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., A.D. Jones, and P.A. Ullrich (2018) “Assessing mountains as natural reservoirs with a multi-metric frameworkEarth’s Future, Volume 6 (9), pp. 1221-1241, doi: 10.1002/2017EF000789.
  • (Available) Shields, C., J. Rutz, R. Leung, M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, A. Payne, P.A. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurliin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. Sabramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, Prabhat, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, and P. Nguyen (2018) “Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project goals and experimental designGeosci. Model Dev., 11, pp. 2455-2474, doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-2455-2018.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., L. Zhao, J.H. Yoon, P. Klotzbach and R.R. Gillies (2018) “Quantitative attribution of climate effects on Hurricane Harvey’s extreme rainfall in TexasEnv. Res. Lett. 13(5), p.054014, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabb85.
  • (Available) Palipane, E. and R. Grotjahn (2018) “Future Projections of the Large‐Scale Meteorology Associated with California Heat Waves in CMIP5 ModelsJ. Geophys. Res.: Atmospheres, 123(16), pp.8500-8517, doi: 10.1029/2018JD029000.
  • (Available) Grotjahn, R. and J. Huynh (2018) “Contiguous US summer maximum temperature and heat stress trends in CRU and NOAA Climate Division data plus comparisons to reanalysesNature Scientific Reports, 8(1), p.11146, doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-29286-w.
  • (Available) Xu, Z., A.M. Rhoades, H. Johansen, P.A. Ullrich and W. Collins (2018) “An intercomparison of GCM and RCM dynamical downscaling for characterizing the hydroclimatology of California and NevadaJ. Hydrometeor. 19 (9), pp. 1485-1506, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0181.1.
  • (Available) Rhoades, A.M., P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, H.Johansen, S.A. Margulis, H. Morrison, Z. Xu and W. Collins (2018) “Sensitivity of mountain hydroclimate simulations in variable-resolution CESM to microphysics and horizontal resolutionJ. Adv. Model Earth Sys., 10 (6), pp. 1357-1380, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001326.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., R. R. Gillies, O.-Y. Chung, and C. Shen (2018) “Cross-Basin Decadal Climate Regime Connecting the Colorado River with the Great Salt LakeJ. Hydrometeor., 19(4), pp.659-665, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0081.1.
  • (Available) Herrington, A.R. and K.A. Reed (2018) “An Idealized Test of the Response of the Community Atmosphere Model to Near‐Grid‐Scale Forcing Across Hydrostatic ResolutionsJ. Adv. Model. Earth Sys., 10(2), pp. 560-575, doi: 10.1002/2017MS001078.

2017

  • (Available) Maraun, D., T.G. Shepherd, M. Widmann, G. Zappa, D. Walton, J.M. Gutiérrez, S. Hagemann, I. Richter, P.M. Soares, A. Hall and L.O. Mearns (2017) “Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulationsNature Climate Change, 7(11), p.764, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3418.
  • (Available) Wu, C., X. Liu, Z. Lin, A.M. Rhoades, P.A. Ullrich, C.M. Zarzycki, Z. Lu and S.R. Rahimi-Esfarjani (2017) “High-resolution climate simulations in the Rocky Mountain region using the variable-resolution CESM (VR-CESM)J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres 122 (20), pp. 10,939-10,965, doi: 10.1002/2017JD027008.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., J.-H. Yoon, E. Becker, and R. R. Gillies (2017) “California from drought to delugeNature Climate Change, 7, pp. 465-468, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3330.
  • (Available) Chavas, D. R., K. A. Reed and J. A. Knaff (2017) “Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationshipNature Communications, 8, 1360, doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-01546-9.
  • (Available) Herrington, A. R. and K. A. Reed (2017) “An Explanation for the Sensitivity of the Mean State of the Community Atmosphere Model to Horizontal Resolution on AquaplanetsJ. Climate, 30, pp. 4781-4797, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0069.1.
  • (Available) Huang, X. and P.A. Ullrich (2017) “The changing character of twenty-first century precipitation over the western United States in the variable-resolution CESMJ. Climate, 30(18), pp. 7555–7575, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0673.1.
  • (Available) Ye, S., Li, H.Y., Leung, L.R., Guo, J., Ran, Q., Demissie, Y. and Sivapalan, M. (2017) “Understanding flood seasonality and its temporal shifts within the contiguous United StatesJ. Hydrometeor., 18(7), pp.1997-2009, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0207.1.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y., Y.-H. Lin, M.Y. Lee, J.-H. Yoon, J. D. D. Meyer, and P. J. Rasch (2017) “Accelerated Increase in the Arctic Tropospheric Warming Events Surpassing Stratospheric Warming Events during WinterGeophys. Res. Lett., 44(8), pp. 3806-3815, doi:10.1002/2017GL073012.

2016

  • (Available) Zarzycki, C.M. and P.A. Ullrich (2016) “Assessing sensitivities in algorithmic detection of tropical cyclones in climate dataGeophys. Res. Lett., 44 (2), pp. 1141-1149, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071606.
  • (Available) Wang, S.-Y. S., L. Zhao, and R. R. Gillies (2016) “Synoptic and quantitative attributions of the extreme precipitation leading to the August 2016 Louisiana floodGeophys. Res. Lett., 43(22), pp. 11,805-11,814, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071460.
  • (Available) Fosu, B., S.-Y. Wang, and J.-H. Yoon (2016) “The 2014/15 snowpack drought in Washington State and its climate forcingBull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., S19-S24, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0154.1.